Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

Gold Heads for Biggest Weekly Gain in Two Years

12 Jul

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday that the overall message from the central bank was that a “highly accommodative policy is needed for the foreseeable future”.

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Gold rose for a fifth session on Friday, on track for its biggest weekly gain in nearly two years on easing fears of an early end to US monetary stimulus that as boosted bullion’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.

Fundamentals

Spot gold had climbed 0.1 percent to USD 1,286.21 an ounce by 0016 GMT. It touched close to USD 1,300 on Thursday, its highest in three weeks.

Bullion has gained 5 percent so far this week, on course for its largest weekly climb since October 2011.

Comex gold and silver were also trading near multi-week highs hit on Thursday.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday that the overall message from the central bank was that a “highly accommodative policy is needed for the foreseeable future”.

Financial markets, which had tumbled after Bernanke said last month that the Fed’s USD 85 billion in monthly bond purchases could be scaled back this year, jumped on Thursday with the Dow and S&P 500 indices hitting all-time closing highs.

Gold, still down nearly 25 percent this year, could face further headwinds as some investors jump to rallying stocks, dumping holdings in gold-backed exchange traded funds.

Investors pulled USD 998.8 million from commodities and precious metals funds, up from withdrawals of USD 92.6 million the prior week, data from Thomson Reuters’ Lipper service showed on Thursday.

Gold traders in India, the world’s biggest buyer of the metal, refrained from fresh purchases as prices climbed to their highest level in more than two weeks.

Market News

The US dollar fell to multi-week lows against the euro and yen on Thursday as traders scaled back expectations the Fed would slow its asset purchases in the coming months.

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Oil edges down to $103/bbl, supply worry eases

9 Jul

NYMEX crude for August delivery was down 16 cents at USD 102.98 a barrel by 0018 GMT, after settling down 8 cents at USD 103.14 on Monday. It touched a 14-month high of USD 104.12 on Monday.

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US crude futures retreated to just below USD 103 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by the return of a Libyan oilfield and Iraqi pipeline that eased concerns about global oil supplies.

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Fundamentals

NYMEX crude for August delivery was down 16 cents at USD 102.98 a barrel by 0018 GMT, after settling down 8 cents at USD 103.14 on Monday. It touched a 14-month high of USD 104.12 on Monday.

London Brent crude for August delivery was down 34 cents at USD 107.09 a barrel, after settling down 29 cents.

Libya’s major Sharara oilfield will resume operations after an agreement was reached with the armed group that shut it down last month, a senior Libyan oil source said on Monday.

A pipeline from Iraq to the Turkish port of Ceyhan will also resume operations in two to three days following an interruption caused by a leak, two sources in Iraq’s state-run North Oil Company (NOC) said on Monday.

Clashes in Egypt that left at least 51 people dead heightened geopolitical risk, but there has been no impact to ports and shipping through the Suez Canal.

Egypt will hold new parliamentary elections once amendments to its suspended constitution are approved in a referendum, the interim head of state decreed on Monday, setting out a time frame that could see a legislative vote in about six months.

US commercial crude oil stocks likely fell by 3.3 million barrels last week, a Reuters poll showed on Monday. Distillate stocks likely rose by 1.3 million barrels, while gasoline stocks were seen up 1.2 million barrels.

Market News

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.53 percent on Monday, edging closer to its all-time high set in May.

The dollar paused in its rally as investors bought beaten-down currencies such as the Australian dollar on Tuesday, although its broad uptrend is seen intact as the market tries to position for when the US Federal Reserve will start to slow its stimulus.

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Gold Inches up After Fed Officials’ Comments on Stimulus

3 Jul

Gold edged higher on Wednesday after a near 1 percent fall in the previous session, as two Federal Reserve officials said the U.S. central bank was likely to continue supporting the economy through asset purchases for some time.

GoldGold edged higher on Wednesday after a near 1 percent fall in the previous session, as two Federal Reserve officials said the US central bank was likely to continue supporting the economy through asset purchases for some time.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold rose 0.2 percent to USD 1,244.06 an ounce by 0014 GMT, while US gold was little changed at USD 1,243.5. Spot gold fell 0.9 percent on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened.

* Bullion, typically seen as a hedge against inflation, has taken a beating since Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month the economy was recovering strongly enough for the central bank to begin tapering its stimulus in the next few months, and possibly end the programme in mid-2014.

* Gold posted its biggest ever quarterly loss of 23 percent for the April-June period, but began the third quarter on a positive note.

* Investors are awaiting US data this week to determine the strength of the economy and the exact timing of the Fed tapering.

* The Fed’s easy monetary policy will likely be warranted for “quite some time” as the US central bank drives down high unemployment while nudging low inflation back toward target, Fed Board Governor Jerome Powell said on Tuesday.

* The head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Tuesday reiterated that the US central bank will likely continue to support the economic recovery for some time to come despite market worries that it was soon pulling back.

* SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.37 percent to 964.69 tonnes on Tuesday.

* Gold traders in India, the world’s biggest buyer of the metal, stayed on the sidelines on Tuesday, and premiums continued to get support from lower supplies due to restrictions by the central bank.

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MARKET NEWS

* The US dollar hit its highest in a month against the yen and euro on Tuesday while a gauge of global equities fell as US stocks reversed course to end slightly lower.

 

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Gold inches up as Fed officials downplay stimulus wind-down

25 Jun

Spot gold rose 0.2 percent to $1,283.55 an ounce by 0018 GMT. It fell around 1 percent on Monday

Gold edged higher on Tuesday as the dollar weakened after two top Federal Reserve officials downplayed an imminent end to monetary stimulus.

Bullion is still down more than 7 percent since the start of last week due to worries over an early end to the Fed’s USD 85 billion monthly bond purchases and a cash crunch in China.

 Fundamentals

* Spot gold rose 0.2 percent to USD 1,283.55 an ounce by 0018 GMT. It fell around 1 percent on Monday, extending last week’s 7 percent slide as fears of a cash crunch in China spooked investors, and a slide in US equities prompted bullion selling to cover margin calls.

* Comex gold rose USD 6 to $1,283.10.

* Last Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gave his most explicit signal yet that the US central bank was considering scaling back its USD 85 billion per month of Treasuries and mortgage-backed debt purchases.

* On Monday, Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota said investors were wrong to view the central bank as having become more keen to tighten policy than it was before last week’s policy meeting.

* Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher said even if the bank dialled back stimulus this year, it will still be running an accommodative policy.

* Fears of a credit crunch in China’s banking system eased on Monday as short-term interest rates fell. The central bank said there were sufficient funds in the market but banks needed to improve cash management and control lending.

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*India’s biggest jewellers’ association has asked its members to stop selling gold bars and coins, about 35 percent of their business, adding to government efforts to cut gold imports and stem a swelling current account deficit.

* HSBC lowered its 2013 gold price forecast to USD 1,396 from USD 1,542 an ounce and its 2014 price to USD 1,435 from USD 1,600, mainly on the Fed’s plans to reduce economic stimulus and weak Chinese growth prospects.

* SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.43 percent to 985.73 tonnes on Monday – its lowest in over four years.

Gold slips as India raises import duty

6 Jun

Gold edged to below USD 1,400 an ounce on Thursday as India, the world’s biggest bullion consumer, raised import duty on the metal by a third to reduce its current account deficit.

Fundamentals

Spot gold had dropped 0.25 percent to USD 1,399.36 an ounce by 0016 GMT, after gaining slightly on Wednesday as investors looked for safer assets after a private US jobs reading fell short of expectations.

US gold rose slightly to USD 1,399.10.

US private employers added 135,000 jobs in May, falling short of economists’ expectations, a report by a payrolls processor showed on Wednesday, curbing fears the Federal Reserve would soon cut its monetary stimulus.

India increased import duty on gold by a third to eight percent as the government seeks to halt a surge in demand after gold imports hit 162 tonnes in May – twice the monthly average of 2011 when they reached a record.

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The increase in import duty comes a day after the Indian central bank acted to force domestic jewellers to buy only on a cash basis.

China’s gold imports unexpectedly tumbled in April from record levels on supply constraints as demand surged after global prices hit two-year lows, although a recovery is likely in May.

The appetite for US American Eagle gold and silver bullion coins is still at unprecedentedly high levels almost two months after a historic sell-off in gold unleashed years of pent-up demand from retail investors, the head of the US Mint said on Wednesday.

Gold jumps 1%, ETFs holdings at three-year low

22 Apr

Gold jumped more than 1 percent on Monday after a rebound above USD 1,400 ignited technical buying, but sentiment was shaky as steady outflows from exchange-traded funds trimmed holdings to their lowest in three years.

The technical outlook for gold, which has plunged more than 15 percent so far this year, is yet to improve although the safe-haven asset could find support from a rush in physical buying in Asia and other parts of the world.

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Gold added USD 13.91 an ounce to USD 1,417.76 by 0212 GMT after rising to as high as USD 1,421, still below Friday’s session-high of around USD 1,424.

Gold posted its biggest-ever daily loss in dollar terms last Monday, shocking veteran investors, who see gold as portfolio protection against inflation and other market risks. Prices sank to around USD 1,321 on April 16, its lowest in more than 2 years.

“The aggressiveness of the fall suggests that we are still in a consolidation rather in a reversal role. For me, the USD 1,435 level is likely to provide resistance,” said Tim Riddell, head of ANZ Global Markets Research, Asia.

“We really need to get back into the USD 1,500s to say that there’s something more substantial taking place. The close above USD 1,400 may have taken the negative pressure out of gold in the near term. A close back below that level will heighten the risks of new lows.”

US gold for June delivery was USD 1,417.60 an ounce, up USD 22.00.

For a 24-hour gold chart analysis: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/WT1/20132204100219.jpg

Inflation adjusted gold price timeline (since 1970): http://link.reuters.com/jem47t

Gold demand in China: http://link.reuters.com/bat34t

Gold in currencies: http://link.reuters.com/cyv95s
Gold has failed to react to tension in the Korean peninsula, with its safe-haven appeal dented by expectations the US Federal Reserve will soon end its bullion-friendly bond buying programme, which could ease inflationary pressure.

The precious metal had rallied to an 11-month high in October last year after the Fed announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus, raising fears the central bank’s money-printing to buy assets would stoke inflation.

Outflows on exchange-traded funds could also indicate that investors were parking their money elsewhere, although last week’s trading data from the Unites States showed that funds had injected new money to gold futures.

Hedge funds and money managers raised their net longs in gold futures and options in the week to April 16, a report by Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed on Friday, as new money entered the market at lower prices.

But holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, dropped 0.88 percent on Friday from Thursday, while those of the largest silver-backed ETF, New York’s iShares Silver Trust remained unchanged for the same period.

Gold prices have also come under pressure due to Cyprus’ plan to sell excess gold reserves to raise around 400 million euros that led to speculation other indebted euro zone countries could follow suit.

In other markets, bulls drove Japanese shares to nearly five-year highs as yen bears clawed at the symbolic 100 yen/dollar door after the Group of 20 gatherings in Washington all but endorsed the Bank of Japan’s aggressive reflation drive.

Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/commodities/gold-jumps-1-etfs-holdings-at-three-year-low_856467.html