Tag Archives: gold trading

Gold near one-month high as dollar slips

23 Jul

A weaker dollar supported bullion prices, but stricter Indian import rules and continued outflows from exchange-traded gold funds could cap gains

goldGold was trading near its highest in a month on Tuesday after gaining 3 percent the session before and breaking through key resistance at the USD 1,300 level.

A weaker dollar supported bullion prices, but stricter Indian import rules and continued outflows from exchange-traded gold funds could cap gains.

 FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold was down 0.08 percent at USD 1,334.01 an ounce by 0020 GMT, while US gold fell USD 2.50 to USD 1,333.50.

* Gold hit a one-month high of USD 1,338.91 on Monday, as speculators fearing a reversal of the recent downward price trend rushed to buy back bearish bets.

* Bullion prices have garnered support from Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke’s assurance last week that the US central bank would be careful in scaling back its USD 85 billion monthly bond purchases.

* September is still the most likely time for the Fed to announce that it will trim its monthly bond purchases, according to a Reuters poll taken after Bernanke’s congressional testimony last week.

* Analysts have slashed their 2013 gold and silver price forecasts after sharp falls earlier this year and expect them to remain weak in 2014 as the United States reins in monetary stimulus, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.

* India’s central bank moved to tighten gold imports again on Monday, making them dependent on export volumes with an eye to reducing a record current account deficit, but offered relief to domestic sellers by lifting restrictions on credit deals.

* SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.13 percent to 931.26 tonnes on Monday.

* A group of indigenous Chileans asked the Supreme Court to revoke the environmental license of Barrick Gold Corp’.

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Investors Flee Gold as Long Positions Hunker Their 2002 low

17 Jul

Although gold is perched near its highest levels in nearly three weeks, investors remain wary of buying it. BofA analysts note that market players have largely liquidated their bullish bets on gold: at USD 2.1 billion, bullion long positions are hunkered at their lowest levels since 2002, the bank said.

mcx gold tradingGold has fallen out of favor with large speculators, according to data from Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, with positioning sliding to its lowest spot in nearly a decade.

Although gold is perched near its highest levels in nearly three weeks, investors remain wary of buying it. BofA analysts note that market players have largely liquidated their bullish bets on gold: at USD 2.1 billion, bullion long positions are hunkered at their lowest levels since 2002, the bank said.

Meanwhile, “speculative shorts in gold are their largest ever,” BofA added.

Despite global central banks’ having no intention of removing their collective foot from the monetary throttle anytime soon, gold bulls have been chastened by a dizzying selloff that has shaved more than 25 percent from bullion’s value in 2013.

Hedge fund guru John Paulson’s flagship gold fund has plummeted by more than 65 percent this year, according to reports.

Over the last week, gold has staged a modest rebound. Still, it is far from the heady days of 2011, when the Federal Reserve’s loose monetary policy prompted gold bugs to bid bullion up to a record USD 1,900 an ounce.

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BofA called market signals on gold “extreme” and said that positioning “remains in the contrarian buy zone,” given that the metal has broken above a near-term resistance area at USD 1,270 an ounce. That creates a “near-term base and positioning-led squeeze higher,” the bank added.

—By CNBC’s Javier E. David

Hours before the Minutes, Gold flat

10 Jul

Perpetual gold bulls liken Ben Bernanke, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, to one who delivered the bull market in gold with one hand and grabbed it back with the other; 2011 had seen gold futures rallying all the way to $1900 levels on QE steroids only to dip below the $1200 levels very recently.

Gold updates

Past two days had seen a slight uptrend in gold, marked by buying at lower levels and some short covering. However, hours before US Federal Reserve is about to come out with the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meet, which held in June, the futures are trading flat.

FOMC meeting minutes are scheduled to be released by 11.30 PM IST. This would be followed by a speech of Ben Bernanke sometime around 1.40 AM IST, Thursday.

Gold on the Globex platform of Comex for delivery on August 13 was seen trading at $1,245.05/oz, a loss of $0.85 or 0.07% as of 11.04 AM IST. Gold on India’s MCX for delivery on August 05 was seen trading at Rs.26008, almost flat.

It looks to be a wait-and-watch mode as far as gold investors are concerned.

Perpetual gold bulls liken Ben Bernanke, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, to one who delivered the bull market in gold with one hand and grabbed it back with the other; 2011 had seen gold futures rallying all the way to $1900 levels on QE steroids only to dip below the $1200 levels very recently.

The QE measures or Quantitative Easing measures—bond buying by Federal Reserve—had made gold rally to insane levels, and when June 2013 saw Bernanke announcing tapering of the measures provided the job market recovers, sent gold to a nadir.

It is the FOMC that takes a collective decision on whether or not to continue with the QE measures. It is worthwhile to note that positive job data that came in recently has taken the glitters off the eyes of QE advocates.

“The U.S. dollar is still rallying and Treasury yields are still trying to find a top. It’s still a pretty negative environment for gold.” said Victor Thianpiriya, an analyst at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Singapore to Bloomberg News.

Besides, the rout in the currencies of emerging markets has added to Dollar strength.

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Gold prices update: Gold rates in Indian metro cities

24 Jun

At 13:09 hours IST MCX GOLD August contract was trading at Rs 26687 per 10 gram, down Rs 333, or 1.23 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 27000 and an intraday low of Rs 26650. So far 16507 contracts have been traded. GOLD prices have moved down Rs 5540, or 17.19 percent in the August series so far.

MCX GOLD October contract was trading at Rs 26824 down Rs 338, or 1.24 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 27131 and an intraday low of Rs 26801. So far 487 contracts have been traded. GOLD prices have moved down Rs 5026, or 15.78 percent in the October series so far.

In Chennai, prices of gold 995 and gold 999 fell by Rs 200 each to Rs 27350 and Rs 27460 per 10 gram on Monday.

In Ahmedabad market, the rate of gold 995 declined by 280 to Rs 26,990 and gold 999 slipped by Rs 275 to 27,120 per 10 gram.

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Gold marks time as investors await stimulus outlook

17 Jun

Gold held steady in Asian trading on Monday as investors awaited indications from a key US Federal Reserve meeting later this week on the outlook for the central bank’s bond buying programme.

The Fed meets on June 18-19 against a backdrop of stronger-than-expected data on US retail sales and the job market, with markets looking for clues to any tapering of its economic stimulus programme.

“The markets are a little bit fatigued at the moment,” said Victor Thianpiriya, commodities analyst at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group. “They are still looking for direction from the Fed meeting. That’s clearly the big driver this week.”

Spot gold rose 0.02 percent to $1,390.41 an ounce by 0319 GMT. Bullion closed up about 0.5 percent for the week on Friday helped by strong demand for coins and bars, a pullback in U.S. stocks and rising tensions in the Middle East.

US gold rose USD 2.40 to USD 1,390.

Markets have been volatile since Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month the bank could scale back its stimulus measures if the economy improves. A cut in the Fed’s USD 85 billion monthly bond purchases could hurt gold, which has benefitted from its role as a hedge against inflation.

Thianpiriya said Bernanke was unlikely to deviate from what he has said before, as it was still too early to determine the timing of the tapering down of the bond purchases.

Most economists expect the Fed to scale back the size of its bond purchases by year end, and several expect reduced buying as early as September, a Reuters poll showed.

DEMAND EASING

Gold prices were supported by some buying in China, the No. 2 bullion consumer in the world after India. Shanghai gold futures were up 0.4 percent on Monday.

However, demand in Asia has cooled from peak levels seen after the mid-April sell-off in gold. Bullion is down 17 percent for the year after 12 years of annual gains.

Indian purchases of gold have fallen since an import duty hike earlier this month. The government is trying to narrow its current account deficit by reducing gold imports.

ANZ’s Thianpiriya said volumes to India have fallen significantly in the last two weeks, while those to China were little changed.

Hedge funds and money managers slashed their bullish bets in gold and silver futures and options in the week to June 11, a report by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.

Gold output in Australia, the No. 2 producer behind China, fell 5 percent in the first quarter on weather-related disruption to 63.5 tonnes, according to the latest Gold Quarterly Review by Surbiton Associates.

Gold edges up, headed for worst week in a month

17 May

Gold edged up on Friday as stock markets paused after rally, but the metal was still on track for its worst weekly decline in a month as investors cut exposure to bullion, sending holdings in exchange-traded funds to the lowest in four years.

FUNDAMENTALS

Spot gold was up 0.17 percent to USD 1,388.11 an ounce by 0038 GMT, having fallen to a four-week low of USD 1,369.29 on Thursday as renewed liquidation in gold ETFs and the recent drop below the USD 1,400-per-ounce level spooked investors.

US gold for June delivery was little changed at USD 1,386.70.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.55 percent to 1041.42 tonnes on Thursday – the lowest in four years.

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Premiums for gold bars rallied to all-time highs in Hong Kong and Singapore on Thursday after bullion’s steepest drop since its April sell-off fuelled another round of buying that constricted supply.

Gold investment nearly halved in the first quarter as a brighter view of the US economy prompted investors in the West to favour other assets, but Chinese coin and bar demand hit a quarterly record of 109.5 tonnes, the World Gold Council said on Thursday.

Indian gold futures fell 1.5 percent on Thursday, extending losses for a second straight session, to hit their lowest level in nearly a month in line with global markets.

The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) will launch after-hours trading for Fridays on May 31 as part of its efforts to help its members better manage price risks, the bourse said in a statement on Thursday.

MARKET NEWS

The Nikkei share average fell for a second day on Friday as caution over the recent steep rises continued to spur profit-taking, while a pullback in Wall Street soured investor sentiment.

Global equity markets fell on Thursday after a regional president of the Federal Reserve said the US central bank could begin to ease up on its loose monetary policy this summer, leading the dollar to recover against the euro.

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Gold edges up as dollar eases; snaps 4-day decline

15 May

Gold had climbed 0.11 percent to USD 1,426.96 an ounce by 0014 GMT. It fell for a fourth consecutive session on Tuesday, its longest losing streak in over two months, as economic optimism and record high US equities dimmed its appeal as a so-called safe haven.

Gold inched up on Wednesday to snap four sessions of decline as the US dollar eased and selling by exchange-traded funds halted, but strong share prices looked set to cap gains.

Fundamentals

Gold had climbed 0.11 percent to USD 1,426.96 an ounce by 0014 GMT. It fell for a fourth consecutive session on Tuesday, its longest losing streak in over two months, as economic optimism and record high US equities dimmed its appeal as a so-called safe haven.

US gold for June rose 0.1 percent to USD 1,425.9.

Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund (ETF), New York’s SPDR Gold Trust GLD and those of the largest silver-backed ETF, New York’s iShares Silver Trust SLV, remained unchanged on Monday from Friday.

Portugal will not replicate a deal that allowed Cyprus to sell its gold reserves under its bailout, its central bank said on Tuesday.

Platinum jewellery demand has grown in Europe as marketing efforts start to pay off, a leading UK jewellery producer said on Tuesday.

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Market news

The dollar edged lower in early Asian trade on Wednesday, but stayed close to its highest point against the yen in four and a half years on signs of an improving US economy and rising Treasury yields.

Japan’s Nikkei share index broke above 15,000 and hit fresh 5-1/2 year highs on Wednesday, bolstered by a strong performance from Wall Street.