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Gold Extends Gains into Third Session, China Demand Aids

2 Jul

Gold inched up on Tuesday, stretching its gains into a third straight session as buyers in China continued to snap up deals after bullion’s plunge to a three-year low last week.

Prices were also helped by short covering that kicked in after gold logged its biggest ever three-month loss in the second quarter ended June on indications of an early wind down to the US Federal Reserve’s stimulus measures.

“We can see some stock loading in the market and physical buying in Shanghai,” said a trader in Hong Kong.

“However, fundamentals are still bearish and we will test the upside at USD 1,270.”

Spot gold rose 0.5 percent to USD 1,258.51 an ounce by 0318 GMT, while US gold rose about USD 2 to USD 1,257.9.

Shanghai futures rose for a second straight day after nine consecutive declines. They were trading at over USD 30 premiums to spot prices.

Bullion, typically seen as a hedge against inflation, has taken a beating since Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said last month the economy was recovering strongly enough for the central bank to begin tapering its USD 85 billion monthly bond purchases in the next few months.

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Gold plunged 22 percent in the second quarter and is headed for a 25 percent drop this year, its biggest decline since 1981. It fell to USD 1,180.71 last week, its lowest since August 2010.

Spot gold is expected to end its current rebound at or below USD 1,273 per ounce, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Physical demand has not come to the rescue of gold as it did in April when prices fell the most in 30 years.

In Hong Kong, gold bar premiums over London prices remained at the same levels as last week, indicating that demand has not picked up strongly, dealers said.

Mixed US economic data on Monday added to uncertainty over the exact timing of the Fed’s tapering.

US manufacturing expanded last month, rebounding from an unexpected contraction in May, and construction spending neared a four-year high in May. However, hiring in the manufacturing sector was the weakest in nearly four years.

A more important jobs report, the US nonfarm payrolls, is expected to be released on Friday.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.12 percent to 968.30 tonnes on Monday – its lowest since February 2009.

Commodity bets: Sell gold; buy silver & crude

28 Jun

Commodity experts are upbeat on silver and crude, they advise buying them. However, they are not bullish on gold, hence suggest selling it.

Priyank Upadhya of SSJ Finance and Securities suggests buying silver around Rs 39,000 per kilogram with stop loss below Rs 38,500 per kilogram and target around Rs 40,000-40,400 per kilogram.

Hitesh Jain of IIFL advocates selling MCX gold at Rs 25,500 per 10gm with target of Rs 25,000 per 10gm and stop loss of Rs 25,850 per 10gm.

Dipen Shah of Stayvan.com advises buying crude. “Any dips in prices around Rs 5,770 per barrel should be used for buying on MCX with strict stop loss of Rs 5,750 per bbl and expect Rs 5,820 to 5,840 per bbl on the higher side on MCX,” Shah adds.

Shreekanth Jha of PJ Commodity Ventures recommends selling gold at Rs 25,500 per 10gm for an immediate target of Rs 25,000 per 10gm.

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