Tag Archives: mcx trading

Oil Continues to Fall in Asia

25 Jul

Oil futures traded modestly lower during Thursday’s Asian session, extending losses incurred during U.S. traded Wednesday.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for September delivery fell 0.29% to USD105.29 per barrel in Asian trading Thursday despite some encouraging U.S. real estate data.

In U.S. economic news out Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index climbed to 57 this month from 51 last month. The July reading reading is the highest since January 2006. Readings above 50 indicate builders view the market as good.

New home sales advanced 8.3%, the best rate in five years. The seasonally adjusted rate was 497,000 units. Economists expected 484,000. May’s sales rate was also revised up to 459,000.

Even solid weekly inventories could not help oil higher in Asian Thursday. On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 2.8 million barrels in the week ending July 19, exceeding expectations for a decline of 2.4 million barrels.

Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 364.2 million barrels as of last week.

Traders appear to still be concerned about economic data out of China last night that serves as further proof manufacturing activity in the world’s second-largest economy is slowing. China’s HSBC manufacturing PMI fell to an 11-month low of 47.7 in July, from a final reading of 48.2 last month. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 48.6.

The U.S. and China are the world’s two largest oil consumers.

Elsewhere, Brent futures for September delivery fell 0.14% to USD106.91 per barrel.

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Crude shoots up on weaker dollar, North Sea supply snags

4 Jun

Oil prices shot up on Monday after U.S. data sent the dollar plunging, while reports of supply snags in the North Sea pushed up prices even further.

A weaker greenback tends to make oil a nicely priced asset in dollar-denominated exchanges, especially in the eyes of investors holding other currencies.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude futures for delivery in July traded up 1.58% at USD93.43 a barrel on Monday, off from a session high of USD93.68 and up from an earlier session low of USD91.29.

A falling dollar made oil a nice buy on Monday.

The Institute for Supply Management said earlier its manufacturing purchasing managers’ index for the U.S. fell to 49.0 in May from 50.7 in April.

Analysts were expecting an unchanged reading.

On the index, a reading above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

The numbers sent oil gaining on sentiments that the Federal Reserve will keep stimulus tools in place that keep the greenback weaker to spur recovery.

Meanwhile in Europe, better-than-expected PMI data further weakened the dollar and sent oil gaining.

The eurozone’s manufacturing PMI improved to 48.3 from 47.8 in April indicating that the slump in the manufacturing sector is easing, according to London-based Markit Economics.

Germany’s manufacturing PMI was revised up to 49.4 in May, beating market calls for a 49.0 reading.

Reports of supply snags in the North Sea sent Brent futures soaring.

Platform operator Nexen reported earlier equipment failure will cut output in the Buzzard oilfield until later this week.

On the ICE Futures Exchange, Brent oil futures for July delivery were up 1.73% at USD102.13 a barrel, up USD8.70 from its U.S. counterpart.

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Bullion, base metals under pressure, sell on rally: Emkay

23 May

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Ashok Mittal, CEO of Emkay Commodities shared outlook on commodities market.

Below is a verbatim transcript of the interview:

Q: How are you mapping commodities on a day like this when we have some poor Chinese data and generally the trend has been weakish?

A: The overall trend on the commodities market – whether it is bullion or base metals or energy products – remains quite under pressure.

On base metals, Chinese data is not very supportive and hence the outlook on the entire base metal pack, especially copper, looks little negative. We think that the prices will remain under pressure on the international markets as well as on the Indian market.

The only difference, which is applicable to all commodities whether bullions or base metals etc is the depreciation of rupee. While the international markets remain under pressure and we expect the prices to remain lower for most of the commodities – the fall in India on Indian rupee terms might be comparatively lesser because of the depreciation of the rupee. Whether it is gold, silver or base metals, the advise for investors is that they should look to sell on uptick.

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Q: Give us a word on what is happening with crude as well that is beginning to blink?

A: In crude, for a long-term perspective we had been saying that we expect the range to be between USD 80 per barrel to USD 100 per barrel. Inventory levels, which came yesterday, are quite good for gasoline as well as crude oil. The expectation in terms of demand increasing is comparatively much lesser.

We expect that crude prices will remain under pressure. In short-term, we expect them to go closer to USD 91-92 per barrel and we expect it should not go above USD 97 per barrel.

On Indian market, we are suggesting to sell crude somewhere around Rs 5,300-5,320 keeping USD 1 per barrel stop loss. We expect USD 2-3 per barrel downside. That means we might see levels of around Rs 5,200 per barrel or lower.

Another very interesting analysis that we have seen on the difference between Brent crude oil and Nymex crude oil is that gas, which used to be around USD 18-20 per barrel has shrunk to around USD 8 per barrel or so. So, we expect that while there will be a lot of pressure on the overall crude oil prices, Nymex crude oil will remain more under pressure because of the factor that the supply is more on that side whereas the Brent will remain not that much under pressure. So the gap between these two will increase further to USD 12-13 per barrel. So this will be a good trade for traders to do. They can buy Brent crude oil and sell Nymex crude oil.

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